Δευτέρα, 6 Αυγούστου 2012

Anglosaxon (American) Orientation or European Orientation?

You have to look back to a state's history to determine the allegiance it owes to sustain.

Isolated, thousands of miles away, the US priorities in the greater Balkan territory have proven to be more friendly to Greece than the European ones. I will take as example the Smirni Holocaust and World War II paradigms. In the end of the Great War (WW1), Greece's territorial aspirations on the Minor Asia land occupied in part by Greek nationals, in Anatolia (Cappadokia, Cilicia etc) were left unfulfilled.  Greek army marching in Minor Asia inland, was left unsupported, while both the former Allies and of course Stalin's Russia  began to provide artillery to the revolted Turks under Kemal's leadership.Major atrocities occured at the time against non-turkish nationals of the collapsing Ottoman Empire that transformed to the Turkish Republic.The US Navy at the time helped the Greek evacuation of Minor Asia in what could be politically correct called a 'massacre', left aside the 'G' term.n Italians, French and Russians took a straightforward position on the side of Turks.Germany had lost the War, but the Sultan was an ally of them. The British were involved in the Palestine Mandate, had little interest in Syria and SouthWestern Minor ASIA, which was Greece's main points of interest.

On the second paradigm, what could one plausibly say? If Greece were to find a historical ally in the European continent that is only France. the British also played a significant role in the post WW2 developments in the state. However, they retreated and left the US to support the liberal order in Greece. De Gaulle and Adenauer are no longer here. The vision of a solid, European confederation is fading, may be even already dead.

If our political elite has a vision for the country, it has to develop a geopolitical strategy containing the Turkish apparent imperialism. It is somehow intrinsic to the Turkish mentality to re-establish their Ottoman Empire. Against such developing economy, Greece has to stand on the side of the US interests and contain the aspirations of its neighbors for a new sphere of influence. It is interesting to note that Brazil and India have no such expansive ambitions. A new world order where the developing economies will start to ask for more resources coming from their neighborhood and inherently from a recognition of their power or their power projection at least, would be harmful to Greece. It stands in the west of Turkey, South of Russia, east of the Reich. If not a battlefield, it will be close to one.

Shia against Sunis, Syria, Turkey, Saudi Arabia, Iran of course, all are involved. The birth of a new state Kurdistan would be more than helpful at the time.

A Greek-US-Israel alliance seems to be strategically the one that can contain regional powers from asserting themselves as major powers in the region and thus demand "land and water", as our history tells.

My vision would be to bring the Russian interests in line with the said alliance. The Chinese industry is expanding using German equipment and technology. It is so apparent that it is the Sino-Germanic alliance that will be the next to project itself as the world;s major economy and superpower.

Greece is a small country; it can nevertheless still be heard in fora. And we owe the allegiance to the liberal world order created and sustained by the US.  Non-ordinated thoughts having read "The World America Made" by Robert Kagan.




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